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From our Blog

TDs, Parties, and the 33rd Dáil 12/02/2020
By Ken Carty University of British Columbia In a recent post I suggested that the evolution of the party system, and the dynamics of local constituency competition, had deprived Irish voters of any realistic capacity to choose their governments. Recent Dála have been full of politically insecure TDs, many at electoral odds with fellow partisans in…
Eoin O'Malley
The Transfers Game in Election 2020: How critical were lower preferences in determining the result? 11/02/2020
Election 2020 has resulted in seismic shifts in the Irish political landscape. The outgoing minority government has seen significant losses, and Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael have achieved their lowest combined share of votes and seats ever. Sinn Fein has surged and is now the most popular party in the state, while the Greens have…
drstephenquinlan
…but how come no one saw it coming? 07/02/2020
The likely sharp uptick in support for Sinn Féin and the possible decline in support for both Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael should pose a few questions for Irish political scientists, not least… Why did no one see the Sinn Féin rise come? The bad answer is that we’re not in the business of prediction.…
Eoin O'Malley
Another election – but not one to choose a government 17/01/2020
By Ken Carty (University of British Columbia) The 2016 Dáil has finally been put out of its misery with over 300 Bills, introduced by enthusiastic local TDs trying to make their mark, failing with it. The question facing the electorate is whether the next Dáil will be any different. If one takes the predictions of…
Eoin O'Malley
Early 2020 election predictions 15/01/2020
Election 2020 has been called for February 8th. It’s a winter election, and called to preempt what would have been a likely government defeat in a confidence motion on minister for health, Simon Harris. The Taoiseach, Leo Varadkar, hardly wanted to do his ‘Let’s take our case to the country!’ speech in the aftermath of…
Eoin O'Malley